Russia is definitely collapsing as we “speak”, the war chest is empty, so although we can’t say exactly when, Russia will not be able to continue for much longer.
Russia has the materials and man power to continue for at least another year. Their economy might cause a revolution from within, but if that doesn’t happen Russia is in for at least the next two years.
Yes they do, it all depends on what level of losses and economic pain they are willing to endure.
I’m estimating Russians have lost at least 10% of their purchasing power in 2024, but this year will be worse. Construction and investments in production will come to an almost complete halt, so lost productivity cannot be renewed, and prices on energy, food and housing will all increase dramatically.
Most Russians are not very rich, so they will feel it pretty bad.
False equivalence
Russia is definitely collapsing as we “speak”, the war chest is empty, so although we can’t say exactly when, Russia will not be able to continue for much longer.
Russia has the materials and man power to continue for at least another year. Their economy might cause a revolution from within, but if that doesn’t happen Russia is in for at least the next two years.
Yes they do, it all depends on what level of losses and economic pain they are willing to endure.
I’m estimating Russians have lost at least 10% of their purchasing power in 2024, but this year will be worse. Construction and investments in production will come to an almost complete halt, so lost productivity cannot be renewed, and prices on energy, food and housing will all increase dramatically.
Most Russians are not very rich, so they will feel it pretty bad.
Unless they force a revolution most Russians don’t matter at all. The elites that matter have a very different situation.