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Cake day: August 15th, 2024

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  • The evidence seems to be Russia advances a lot of troops in bad weather when drones don’t work well - but a single clear day allows the drones to clear them out. Ukraine also seems to be giving up territory when Russia masses lots of troops - but Russia then overextends and Ukraine comes back over the next months and clears them all out.

    Back in 2024 is was predicted that 2025 would be a hard year for Ukraine as Russia still had plenty of old equipment to work with, while Europe was still gearing up industry - then 2026 would be much better as Russia runs out of old equipment while Europe completes gearing up industry and starts producing. It is still early, but we seem to be seeing the start of that play out: Ukraine isn’t winning yet, but they are acting like they have more equipment, while Russia is conserving what they have left.


  • I guess I’m keeping my f350 running for another 27 years… give me something I can afford that meets my needs. I hate driving the truck without the trailer but I can’t afford a 50k suv that won’t even do the job of my truck. Besides I miss the way my last sedan handled and want another, but again I can’t justify 40k, but maybe 20k

    edit - and just a few hours latter the fuel tank fell off and there isn’t enough unrusted metal to reattach it. I don’t have time for that much body work so it is gone. :(












  • If you look close, Russia has been careful to mostly recruit/kill the type of people Russians don’t care about: immigrants, prisoners, or Russians from distant rural areas. They have also been careful to not conscript many people at all, preferring to make it seem like everyone is a volunteer. Russia is running out of ability to get those groups though and the rest of the world are trying to figure out when/who things change going forward.