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I would be amazed if this actually came to fruition. It would paralyze the country yet again while they play party politics. That would be four PMs all from one election result. Four sets of resignation honours lists. yet another round of all change in ministerial positions. What would a new face actually achieve with so little time left in parliament time.
If this looked likely, I could see Sunak doing what Johnson threatened. That would be to call an early election. I firmly believe Sunak is in this for the money with the business interests of his family. If a VONC looked imminent then he has no interests in politics anymore. He knows he will not be the next PM. He will want a get out of jail free option, IMO.
According to polls, a GE would be a wipe out with the Tory party. If Labour step aside for the LD, there is even a possibility that Sunak would loose this own seat. He may not even have to go through the indignant process of resigning while in office.
I can easily see how there could be enough Tory MPs to trigger this. So many who have nothing to loose anymore. Many are stepping down as candidates, and many more who know they will be out of a job. I sincerely hope that if they do pull the trigger then Sunak sees the option of going to the ballot boxes. I can do without the last year of parliament being stagnated by yet more Tory in fighting.
As they are not forced to hold an election until 25th jan 2025. They have well over a year in power.
As they know they are likely to loose. I can see them calling soon after Xmas. Mid jan. And offering Xmas cookies.
Promise huge payouts to the NHS due to winter costs hitting. While the labour party are hesitant to promise tospend money. The tories offering short term payments may attract many traditional tory voters. Even though those same voters would question Labour for spending money. They tend to be very inconsistent whe the tories do it.
If the Tories push for a spending spree, Labour will jump on it. They will need to show OBR forecasts. Remember they cannot avoid paying for the crumbling public buildings before any election next year. Where as Phil Moorhouse pointed out that Labour have an open goal and will just borrow, because it was unforeseen, as well as being critical to life. The Tories cannot get away with increasing borrowing in the same light as Labour, mainly because this is on their watch. Labour have been asking for clarification on the state of public buildings for some time now.
So no it is highly unlikely the Tories can hand out funding anywhere before plugging the public buildings maintenance gap that they have created.