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Cake day: July 20th, 2023

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  • I was in California and I saw the sky turn orange like some apocalypse. Like I was wearing orange sunglasses or something crazy. Then, I ended up moving to New York and a similar disaster happened that was unheard of but due to the raging wildfires in Canada all in the span of a handful of years. Likely that trend will continue so air filters are likely to be a necessary and common purchase unfortunately. Sea levels will rise given that the arctic will be ice free for at least during the summer so that will have severe implications.

    Nations will need to cope. On a more opportunistic view, the West will likely be greatly weakened by said disasters (as well as the other wars they will be involved in) while China will likely continue its ascension and thankfully, China is taking the issue rather seriously these days with a frankly astounding push in renewables compared to everywhere else in the world. Ideally, China will be taking a more aggressive role and with the support of the global South, attempt to actually fix the issue meaningfully.

    It could be dark, but as the saying goes, “it is darkest before the dawn”


  • Fascism is a natural end result of capitalism as but I there are differences in structure. Capitalism is to me anyways, is the false idea that you can have endless and exponential growth in a world where resources are finite. It results in imperialism and is of course the main driver of imperialism but fascism is a bit more of the final form bereft of those falsehoods. Once people start to realize that they cannot in fact grow endlessly, capitalism converts to fascism and the government is restructured in an autocratic fashion in order to exert control.

    To better elaborate, at least how I understand it, the United States is an oligarchy and undemocratic where half the time, the president doesn’t even win the popular vote but I don’t consider it fascist but it is getting there. People are looking at either socialism or they are looking for fascism which is something like Trump to seize control directly to fix things (with the implicit understanding that Trump will hurt the “right” people to do so).

    I also need to read more on it but one thing that stuck with me is that capitalism is the new change brought about by the factories and shifts of society with petit bourgeoisie and as some note, a step forward compared to the feudal societies of old (which is the idea that the serf labors for the king with at least expectation of the king providing and protecting the serf). It is something of a transitioning period I believe is what some socialist thinkers view it and fascism is a step backwards while socialism is the step forward


  • Is eternal global war a possible solution? No, because capitalism is terrible at fighting actual wars. For example, right now, the West keeps talking about sending more weapons and even though they’ve spent billions, much of that military hardware is insufficient in numbers and quality. Businesses just clearly are not interested if it doesn’t make them richer.

    Further to this point, think of world war 2. Massive rationing taking place and the state actively controlling large aspects of life for both normal people and businesses to ensure wartime production along with massive propaganda and censorship.

    In a real, serious war, the state has to exert controls over both private business and people which ultimately means either socialism or fascism and if the wars aren?t serious we have things like Afghanistan and Ukraine which are very likely to end in bankruptcy.

    As additional point, think of every revolution that has ever happened. The vast majority happen right after a war or during one which is probably why all these African states are launching coups since Europe has been left weakened by the Ukraine war.

    This is how I understand it in any case and welcome other inputs