Futurologist
- 179 Posts
- 19 Comments
3·5 months agoSomething I heard recently both surprised me, yet at the same time resonated with me. It was the view that the 21st century is being modeled in China’s image where the 20th century was modeled on America. The US thought it would make China more like it, instead America has become more like China - transactional and authoritarian in its dealings with the world.
Paradoxically their approach is to use less training data. HF are saying they have reverse engineered some of the capabilities of OpenAI’s o1 model, by using an approach called ‘Test-time compute scaling’ which OpenAI have acknowledged using, but not disclosed exactly how.
https://the-decoder.com/study-shows-test-time-compute-scaling-is-a-path-to-better-ai-systems/
Just as the investor funded AI companies think they have the shallowest of moats, and a chance to build revenue, no - once again Open Source is snapping at their heels. Someone is going to blink first in this race, and I suspect it will be the investor funded AI companies.
The video game industry is a huge employer. It makes you wonder how much longer we will be saying that.
AGI, genetic editing of humans for starters. Advanced robotics, the discovery of alien life. Maybe another new paradigm in our understanding of the science and the universe on a par with Einstein’s?
They are not going up in China.
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The problem is feeding them crap will keep them low IQ. Most parents want the highest quality educational content instead.
with the safety flag happily waving…fled the scene.
Anthropomorphising much? Its like saying a toaster that broke down turned on you in a hissy fit.
This idea seems economically illiterate. In a world where humans don’t earn money, how do we have a stock market supporting these valuations?
Maybe I’m paranoid, but why does my mind straight away go to all the nefarious ways this could be used. Creative criminals and intelligence agencies could find many uses for this technology when it matures.
They are made from a biological substrate with metal magnetic components. It means they are highly controllable in water tanks via magnetic fields. They won’t be out in the wild.
I think we’re going to have to pit AIs against one another in another web of complexity in order to reach AGI.
I don’t know if its going to be the route to AGI, but what you are describing is already happening.
There’s Microsoft’s AutoGen framework & OpenAI next month say they too will have AI Agents for Chat-GPT
Just AI. The distinction being that an AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) is a theoretical superintelligence capable of any intellectual task, including coding to improve itself.
Here’s a video showing this model of robot in action.
It will be interesting to see what capabilities these have, and how trainable they will be. They look like they can do simple warehouse work, but will they be much more capable than that?
Any human work of art is made by an artist who is synthesizing other’s past work they’ve absorbed. If I write a murder-mystery crime novel set in 1930s England, it would be hard to avoid some influence of Agatha Christie’s. Does it mean I’m stealing from her?
There’s a separate issue of AI taking jobs, which is very real, but will probably need something like Basic Income to deal with on a society-wide level.
I’m grateful for the EU. They’re setting the standards for consumer protection and making things happen.
I’m very excited about kinetic gun type launch tech. Its way to harsh for humans, but it could get cargo to space very cheaply. If that were true the building blocks for a huge space station suddenly become much more economically feasible.
I’d be more excited to see treatments that altered DNA commercialized. I’m sure its coming, the question is when.
Large educational improvements have been demonstrated in Africa with AI too. What seems to be happening is that benefits students gain from one-on-one tutoring, happen with AI which effectively functions as the same thing.