I think people try to make prediction models all the time, but if it really worked I feel like it would become quite obvious when someone basically never misses.

If it’s just a matter of running a simulation to see how far they diverge, I’m not sure what kind of insights you could gain from that. I think it would be a bit like running a weather simulation for years. Very soon after (likely a matter of days), unpredictable events would fork reality from the simulation, and they would only diverge further.

To answer the question, it might be possible to set up an imperfect, incomplete simulation.