• kn0wmad1c@programming.dev
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          4 months ago

          It will galvanize his base, who were already voting for him, to be sure. But I doubt this will swing many voters. Trump is still Trump, regardless of assassination attempt.

          • Riccosuave@lemmy.world
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            4 months ago

            But I doubt this will swing many voters.

            Then you are incredibly historically naive. He was already winning by every available metric. So, if nothing had changed at all there was already an extremely high likelihood of him being reelected. This only serves to further strengthen his chances.

            I don’t think people really understand how stupid, brainwashed, and weak minded the average American truly is. There are plenty of people who will vote for him because surviving an assassination attempt makes him look strong. Count on it.

            • TopRamenBinLaden@sh.itjust.works
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              4 months ago

              He was already winning by every available metric.

              I just looked for myself, and NPR/PBS survey has Biden ahead. Many other polls have it basically tied. A few have Trump in the lead by 2-3 points.

              I wouldn’t personally call that winning by every available metric, although I would agree with you that it looks like Trump has a slight lead.

              • Riccosuave@lemmy.world
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                4 months ago

                Individual polls are meaningless. I only care about the trends of the the aggregate polling. Five Thirty Eight has had Trump leading by an average of 2 points in aggregate polling basically from the beginning. There has never been a time where Biden was ahead during this election cycle. Therefore, using the available metrics it is clear that Donald Trump is on the path to returning to the White House.

              • candybrie@lemmy.world
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                4 months ago

                Were those national popular vote polls? If so, you have to factor in the electoral advantage Republicans have. If the national popular vote is tied, Republicans will win.

            • kn0wmad1c@programming.dev
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              4 months ago

              You could make points without calling the other person naive. No need to make the internet a worse place.

              As far as “every available metric” goes, you’re talking polls, and polls are garbage. Every poll had Clinton winning in late October 2016.

              And we’re in an unprecedented portion of politics in American history, so bringing up historical measurements doesn’t convince me like you think it would.

              • Riccosuave@lemmy.world
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                4 months ago

                We will see who did the proper analysis in 4 months time. I’m really hoping it won’t be me. Unfortunately, I am also certain that I am correct.